How to Find Your Competitor’s “Top Secret” Revenue

Analyzing your competitor’s revenue is a helpful tool in measuring your own progress and potential.  Duh.  It’s not rocket science.  You won’t beat ‘em if you can’t find the finish line.  So how much are your competitors taking – or raking – in, and how the hell do you find out?

If your competitors are public companies, than you get to read all about their top line and bottom line in the annual audit report available to investors.  Of course they’re not always truthful (surprise!)  Sure, the government cracked down on the Enrons of the world, trying to avoid another disaster for investors, but people always find a way to lie.

For small and private companies, lying about top line revenue may have more to do with hiding the trouble so as not to worry staff or negatively affect the brand.

Sometimes it’s a little white lie, like rounding up on the number.  Sometimes it’s a huge lie, like making up numbers.  (Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain!)  And sometimes it’s a lot of money and they don’t want you to know how much they’re hiding under the mattress.

But some companies are honest about it – they’re not going to tell you how much they make and that’s that.  It was nice of you to ask, but it’s none of your business.  Okay.  Fine.  Time for Plan B.

To get to the truth, you’re going to have to do a little spying, but not as much as you think.  And no gadgets required.  Sorry.

Read quickly.  This blog post will destroy itself in sixty seconds!

1. Find out how many full-time employees your competitor has.  Most people will not dodge this question or fudge the number.  If you have trouble getting the information, just call and ask the receptionist if she’ll participate in a three-question survey.  Come up with two other benign questions she wouldn’t be afraid to answer, like “Where do you buy your office supplies?” or “Which crappy chain restaurant do you use for holiday parties?”

2. Multiply the total number of employees by $100,000 and then again by $200,000.  The company revenue is likely between these two numbers.

3. If your competitors are in trouble their top line revenue is on the low end, and if they are doing well, it will be on the high end.  If they are kicking ass and taking names their revenue will be above $250,000.  I know one small private company that is bringing in $1,000,000 plus for each full-time employee – that is AWESOME!

4. How can you tell if a competing company is in trouble?  That, my friend, is a spy lesson for another day.

Why does this calculation work?  Because generally, when revenue increases so does the workload.  And for some business models, revenue is dependent on employees, such as agents for real estate firms or other sales staff.

Get your top secret on and figure it out.  Soon you’ll be calculating top line revenue in seconds flat.  You’ll be doing it at parties.  (Hint: Don’t do it at parties.  You’ll never get a date.)

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One Response to “How to Find Your Competitor’s “Top Secret” Revenue”

  1. Mike Michalowicz Says:

    Everyone,

    In response to the emails I am getting… here is the formula in summary:

    Determine the # of Full Time Employees (FTE) your competitor has.

    Multiple FTE by $100K.

    Multiple FTE by $200K.

    That is their likely revenue range.

    For example, if your competitor has 22 FTEs. Their revenue is likely $2.2M to $4.4M. Average healthy company is running right in the middle. In this case at $3.3M.

    - Mike

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